{"id":412,"date":"2016-06-23T11:57:39","date_gmt":"2016-06-23T11:57:39","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/box5491.temp.domains\/~thewake8\/?p=412"},"modified":"2017-10-06T08:27:38","modified_gmt":"2017-10-06T08:27:38","slug":"eu-countries-plausible-reactions-to-brexit","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.theweproject.eu\/it\/2016\/06\/23\/eu-countries-plausible-reactions-to-brexit\/","title":{"rendered":"EU Countries’ Plausible Reactions to Brexit"},"content":{"rendered":"

First of all,\u00a0according<\/a>\u00a0to\u00a0Politico<\/em><\/strong>, a lot of European nations fear that Brexit would lead to calls for other popular votes in their respective countries. This is true for Sweden, with the\u00a0\u201cEurosceptic Swedish Democrats party calling for a referendum on migration, which has been a controversial issue in the country. Many fear a Brexit could fuel their demands.\u201d We see the same happening in Denmark: \u2018the Danish People\u2019s Party at 17 percent is pushing for its own referendum on EU membership, which could be fueled by a Brexit.\u201d In the Netherlands as well, a Leave vote would \u201cgive the right-wing Freedom Party – with the support of\u00a018 percent of the electorate in opinion polls – the push it needs to call for a referendum on membership.\u201d The same goes for Vienna, where far-right FP\u00d6 \u201cparty leader Harald Vilimsky has already called for Austria to hold its own referendum on EU membership.\u201d Finally, the Czech Republic is yet \u201canother country [\u2026] where forces on the political Left and Right are pushing for a referendum on EU membership.\u201d<\/p>\n

In Italy as well, there are eurosceptic parties on both ends of the political spectrum. “\u201cShould the Leave option succeed, populists or Eurosceptics [\u2026] may try to replicate the referendum\u201d\u00a0said<\/a>\u00a0Roberto Basso, a spokesperson for the Italian finance ministry.\u201d He went on explaining that \u201cItaly would take a hard line on the benefits the U.K. could win outside of the EU club,\u201d still according to\u00a0Politico<\/em><\/strong>.<\/p>\n

Moreover, Brexit would have a clear economic impact on the other country of the British Isles, namely Ireland. The Irish Government clearly\u00a0stated<\/a>\u00a0it was in favour of Britain remaining in the EU. \u201cWe want the UK, as our friend, closest neighbour and partner, to remain a member of a reformed EU.\u201d However, \u201cIreland will have a clear plan in place to deal with the implications of a UK vote to Leave. [\u2026] The key priority for [the Irish] Government will be to protect and promote Ireland\u2019s key interests in the event that the UK votes to leave.\u201d Finally, for those wondering if Ireland could follow Britain\u2019s lead and in turn leave the Union, the answer is clear. “No. Irrespective of the outcome of the UK referendum on its membership of the EU, Ireland […] will remain a committed Member State of the EU and a full member of the Eurozone.\u201d<\/p>\n

What about France? Well, \u201cParis will push to ensure that consequences are felt swiftly and severely to avoid emboldening anti-EU forces elsewhere in the bloc,\u201d\u00a0according<\/a>\u00a0to\u00a0Politico<\/em><\/strong>. \u201c\u201cIf we say you are outside the EU but can keep all of the advantages, access to the single market without any solidarity, it\u2019s a terrible message for the rest of the EU,\u201d said a senior EU diplomat.\u201d What\u2019s more, it is crucial for the French to send a strong message, \u201cas the anti-EU National Front [is] positioned to make a strong showing in the country\u2019s 2017 presidential election.\u201d As to the post-Brexit UK-EU relationship, France \u201chopes that Britain would adopt Norway\u2019s model of trade with the Union, under which it accepts all EU regulations including the free movement of workers.\u201d<\/p>\n

In Germany, Brexit would not only cause a potential blow to EU sentiment, but it could mean political isolation for Berlin. In the\u00a0New York Times<\/em><\/strong>, Charles Grant, Director of the Centre for European Reform,\u00a0declared<\/a>\u00a0that \u201cwithout the counterweight of Britain, \u201cthe German problem becomes more acute.\u201d Rome, Paris and Warsaw fear that without Britain as a countervailing force in the bloc, Germany would become too powerful. The Germans themselves fear that an anti-German alliance would form.\u201d Furthermore, talking to\u00a0Wake Up Europe<\/em><\/strong>\u2019s Annalisa Piras, Sophia Besch, research fellow at the Centre for European Reform, said that, despite various claims that Germany is waiting for the referendum results to \u201cpush for progress towards a European Army<\/a>,\u201d \u201cthere was a lot of excitement over not a lot of news.\u201d She explained that \u201cthe coalition government put in its Treaty that Germany is committed to an EU Army \u2018in the long-term\u2019. And the worst thing you can do for a political project is to say that you want it \u2018in the long-term\u2019, because it means no one is concretely working on an implementation plan.\u201d<\/p>\n

In\u00a0Politico<\/em><\/strong>, Poland\u2019s case is also\u00a0mentioned<\/a>. \u201cBrexit could have a huge impact on Polish politics and its economy: Around 1 million Polish currently live and work\u00a0in the U.K., and some fear they will have to return home looking for employment. A\u00a0survey<\/a>\u00a0taken last week by Polish pollster\u00a0IBRiS<\/em><\/strong>\u00a0found\u00a0that if there is a Brexit vote, 47 percent of Poles living in Britain would want to stay in the U.K., though 26 percent would return to Poland if their efforts to stay failed. [\u2026] EU diplomats\u00a0said Warsaw\u00a0will want\u00a0to go easy\u00a0when negotiating new trade relationships with the U.K., and would possibly push for a special or associate relationship with the EU in exchange for rights for its citizens still living in Britain.\u201d<\/p>\n

The last country to be mentioned here is Spain.\u00a0Politico<\/em><\/strong>\u00a0explains<\/a>\u00a0that two major issues are at stake there: Gibraltar and Catalonia. With regards to Gibraltar, Madrid \u201chas said that in the event of a Brexit it will allow for market access as long as the U.K. offers joint sovereignty over\u00a0the Rock \u2014 which is not likely to happen.\u201d\u00a0Therefore, people\u00a0there \u201cclearly support staying in the EU,\u00a0out of fear that a Brexit would lead Spain to tighten border controls.\u201d Finally, \u201cthere\u2019s fear a\u00a0Brexit could give momentum to the region of\u00a0Catalonia in its drive to split from Spain – especially if a Leave vote\u00a0leads Scotland to hold another referendum on quitting the U.K.\u201d<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

First of all,\u00a0according\u00a0to\u00a0Politico, a lot of European nations fear that Brexit would lead to calls for other popular votes in their respective countries. This is true for Sweden, with the\u00a0\u201cEurosceptic Swedish Democrats party calling for a referendum on migration, which has been a controversial issue in the country. Many fear a Brexit could fuel their […]<\/p>","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":413,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[69],"tags":[131,127,126],"class_list":["post-412","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-brexit","tag-leave","tag-referendum","tag-remain"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"\nEU Countries' Plausible Reactions to Brexit - Wake Up Europe!<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/www.theweproject.eu\/it\/2016\/06\/23\/eu-countries-plausible-reactions-to-brexit\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"it_IT\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"EU Countries' Plausible Reactions to Brexit - Wake Up Europe!\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"First of all,\u00a0according\u00a0to\u00a0Politico, a lot of European nations fear that Brexit would lead to calls for other popular votes in their respective countries. 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